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Analysis of the efficiency of models assessment of the probability of bankruptcy of organizations (on the example of Russian trading companies)

Abstract

The article is devoted to a comparative analysis of the effective-ness of applying 15 models for assessing the probability of bankruptcy of organizations using the example of 200 Russian trading companies. The ranking of the studied models according to the criterion of accuracy of assessment is carried out, their shortcomings that limit the effectiveness of practical application are revealed.

About the Authors

E. .. Volna
Ural State Federal University named after the First President of Russia B.N. Yeltsin
Russian Federation


J. .. Dolgikh
Ural State Federal University named after the First President of Russia B.N. Yeltsin
Russian Federation


References

1. Зайковский Б.Б. Методы прогнозирования и оценки вероятности банкротства организаций // Социальные науки. 2016. № 3 (13). С. 56-68.

2. Лаврова Т.Е., Матвийчук Л.Н. Анализ методов оценки вероятности банкротства организации // Научный аспект. 2018. Т. 4. № 4. С. 469-476.

3. Соколовская Е.Н. Отечественные модели оценки вероятности банкротства организаций // Наука, образование и духовность в контексте концепции устойчивого развития. Сборник научных трудов: материалы всероссийской научно-практической конференции. Ухта: УГТУ, 2016. С. 161-165.


Review

For citations:


Volna E..., Dolgikh J... Analysis of the efficiency of models assessment of the probability of bankruptcy of organizations (on the example of Russian trading companies). Siberian Financial School. 2019;(5):121-127. (In Russ.)

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ISSN 1993-4386 (Print)