Methodological aspects of the statistical analysis of entrepreneurial confidence in the sectors of the Russian economy

Abstract

The article examines the sources of information on the entrepreneurial confidence of organizations and consumer expectations of the population collected by Rosstat. The features of programmatic, methodological and organizational issues of monitoring the conjuncture and business activity of organizations and consumer behavior of the population are summarized. The limitations of the statistical analysis of non-quantitative information (balances of evaluation of indicators as a difference in the frequency of responses) of marketoriented sample surveys are formulated. The dynamics and seasonality of the index of entrepreneurial confidence of enterprises extracting minerals, engaged in manufacturing, providing electric energy, gas and steam, air conditioning, construction, retail trade, services, and the index of consumer confidence of the Russian population for 2022-2024 are analyzed. The degree of influence of the components of the index of entrepreneurial (consumer) confidence in Russia on its dynamics for 2018-2024 was measured. The factors limiting the activities of Russian enterprises and organizations were analyzed, stable and unstable among them were identified, and structural shifts in respondents' responses about the impact of these factors for 2020-2024 were also assessed.